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With a spin in only the Z axis, the outside numbers on the dice set should not occur in the final roll result. Nobody has looked at dice control from the perspective we use, and with the rigorous statistical approach we've applied. This is intended as a brief summary only on dice control and the physical skill of dice setting. Now that we understand the basic physics of dice control, we can see that the actual dice set is relevant for a skilled shooter. With a hardway set, this means one of: 22, 33, 44, or Thirdly, dice setters attempt to try to limit the number of double pitches when they achieve z-axis control. With the above approach, we can convert various SRR ratios to actual player edges. Ok… maybe we've raised your curiosity about dice control. If you are a random shooter, you will roll one seven in every six rolls or, one seven for every five non-sevens. As well as limiting the spin of the dice to the Z axis, extremely proficient controlled shooters also try and fix the rate of spin for both dice to be the same. Let's take a fresh statistical look at dice control, starting with the basic physics principles described in the earlier. Smart Craps is much more than just a proof: it is a software tool to help dice controllers maximize their edge, tune their game, and learn what edge is possible. Dice setters attempt to control the physical throw of the dice in such a way as to influence the outcome of the dice. To understand the physics of dice control, let's look at an actual craps table:. Smart Craps is based on brand new mathematical methodologies, designed to answer with statistical and scientific clarity, the infamous question plaguing advantage craps players everywhere:. Dan Pronovost is the owner and president of DeepNet Technologies , makers of a wide range of gambling training products and software. Hence, the actual dice sums are completely irrelevant, and say nothing immediately about our edge in craps. Ideally, the two dice leave their hands in perfect symmetry, and rotate equally in the z-axis, bounce off the floor and back, and land with one of four possible outcomes. But we will come back to this point, and show later how we can determine our edge once we have proven our dice setting skill. This can further reduce the dice outcomes for advantage play. Or, how do we know how many face rotations or pitches occurred on those successes? Ideally, the dice land up together zero face rotations as noted above , or single pitch are offset by 90 degrees or one rotation. Secondly, a good dice setter tries to control the number of face rotations or pitches between the two dice when they do achieve z-axis control. If you want to master the physical skill of dice setting, you will want to read and consult with some of the resources at the end of this article. Pro Test, since it models the maximum information content of dice control through three different and unique statistical tests, requires far less rolls to develop statistical certainty compared to the SRR method. These ongoing articles will be 'stand alone', meaning that you do not need to use or have the Smart Craps software to understand or follow along. So… to answer this question and lay down them fightin' words : yes, craps is a beatable game , provably with statistical certainty, in the hands of the skilled dice controller. Now, how do we prove it, with the same kind of mathematical certainty that we talk about with card counting in blackjack? For example, the outcome 34 and 25 indicate perfect z-axis rotation with a hardway set. Smart Craps makes it possible to determine the true edge empirically with real-world craps scenarios and conditions, using game simulation. But for the curious, or those who want to jump ahead, you can buy the software from the GTC Store. Their web sites are: www. In theory, any spin in the Y or X axis can introduce unexpected bounces and a less controlled outcome. Yet, they may fail to get z-axis rotation and still get a seven with a 61 or 16 outcome.

As published in Blackjack Insider www. Describing the top and front of a die actually, any two adjacent sides will do completely determines the values of the remaining sides. For the curious, observe that three pitches here actually a single pitch in the other direction.

The SRR is a direct result of their technique and set, not the other way around.

This results from the fact that sevens can smart craps free download both 'good' and 'bad', meaning that they occur when we both achieve and fail z-axis control.

Using a hard way set again, suppose a controlled shooter achieves Z axis control but not rotation rate.

In the above figure, the twos are on top and the fours are on the front. While it is possible to determine the player edge mathematically with different SRR values in the case of simple flat pass line bets, things get more complicated when you add unusual bets and rules vigs, smart craps free download, uneven smart craps free download, etc.

Before I answer this question in this, and a continuing series of upcoming articleslet me start by saying that this is a very controversial subject, and will raise the shackles of many 'experts' maybe even you, fine reader!

Thinking in practical terms, how do we know if a throw has stayed on z-axis rotation for any given dice set? This weakens more info statistical utility of SRR for determining player dice setting skill.

Smart Crapsand the ideas it uses, are new. The most common statistical analysis of the game of craps to date is the SRR: seven to rolls ratio. With these labels, we can see that a shooter will be throwing the dice along the X axis toward the end of the table.

Well, we embarked last year into a new area of gambling, and after spending over a year researching, developing and writing, we have just launched a new software product: Smart Craps for Windows. But SRR shooters are no different from any dice setter: the principles of axis rotation discussed previously apply.

Now that we have a better understanding of the physics of dice control, and the meaning of the current SRR analysis method, we can strive to come up with a better and more accurate statistical model for smart craps free download control. A typical controlled shooter is attempting to cause the click the following article to rotate only along the Z axis.

Figure 2 : Throwing the dice parallel article source the Z axis of the table.

Generally, a skilled dice setter will hold the dice mac casino usa no download, parallel to the Z axisas shown below:. In theory, the possible outcomes are the sixteen permutations of the four on-axis sides: 22, 23, 24, 25, 32, 33, 34, 35, 42, 43, 44, 45, 52, 53, 54, and Notice that there are passing outcomes that sum to seven, as well as failures 61, This will come into play when we talk about the statistics of dice setting, and the best way to determine if a skilled shooter is influencing the outcomes.

It is interesting to observe that the actual dice set is not relevant when simulating SRR shooters. Some readers of Blackjack Insider may know me for my company's blackjack training products www. But before you judge too quickly, please be fair, and read the analysis presented here, and to be continued in future newsletters.

The set determines exactly what numbers are on top and on the sides for both dice. First and foremost, dice setters are trying to limit the dice rotation to the z-axis.

This simple fact can be seen if we look at all possible outcomes for the sum of two dice:.

This measures the number of seven sums in two dice compared to the other outcomes.

Smart craps free download then, a whole bunch more practice.

For example, if a shooter uses a hardway set, they may still achieve perfect z-axis rotation, not getting an outside six or one to appear, yet a seven is rolled. Once again, for those who are curious, you can download the software and read the documentation. But Pro Test is also more than just a tool to prove whether we're a skilled dice controller: it can be used with Smart Craps to optimize our dice sets, and compute our edge with any bet! I tell people that it's a raw physical talent on order of complexity to juggling four balls without errors for many minutes at a time and not two in each hand, for those who've tried! Also, the actual dice sums, while very relevant to computing player edge, are not directly correlated to the influence the dice setter achieves. For example, if we assume the following:. Pro Test is exactly what the title suggests: a test dice controllers can apply to roll sets to see if they are influencing the dice. SRR is great for computing player edge, but is a weak statistical measure of dice setting skill. With this knowledge we can now ask the million dollar statistical question:. In experiments with actual dice controllers, 50 to rolls are often more than enough to provide statistical certainty we'll talk about that term and its meaning more next month. And, as this series of articles will reveal, Smart Craps will show that most dice controllers are not playing optimally , or even worse, think they are playing with an advantage and are not doing so. The above table for a dice controller will be quite different, but the number we concentrate on is the number of seven outcomes. Dice control takes practice. Ok… you claim to be an expert dice controller, and making millions at craps. We've seen in the previous section that the seven to rolls ratio, while somewhat intuitive and useful for calculating player edge, is not the best possible measure of dice setting skill. This fancy looking question is really the mathematical equivalent of asking "Is there ample evidence that I am a controlled shooter? This weakens the statistical accuracy of the SRR as a good measure of dice setting skill. Wrong: dice control is a physical skill , very different from the discipline of card counting in blackjack. Been winning for years! A random shooter should achieve 16 z-axis controlled outcomes on average for every 36 rolls. While it is very clear with a hardway dice set, other sets will lead to ambiguous results unless the dice are clearly marked or colored and the starting dice set recorded. Eliminating double pitches is useful with some dice sets, such as the hardway set: the only seven sums on the z-axis controlled outcomes occur when the dice double pitch 52, 25, 34 and This can be relevant in different points of the game, such as point cycle rolls. For the purposes of the Pro Test, we always use a hardway set, to eliminate this challenge. Of these passes , four are zero pitches, and four are double pitches. Time to buy the book, and make millions, right? With a hardway set, this means each die outcome is one of: 2, 3, 4 and 5. This simply means that neither of the outside numbers shows up in the outcome. On the come out roll, we want to maximize the number of sevens i. Unlike card counting in blackjack, dice setting is a physical skill, and cannot be mastered through reading and mental practice alone. In Smart Craps , we do this by defining a simulation matching the SRR parameters, and running it for a few million rounds. This skill, when used consciously at different points in the game, generates a non-random distribution of outcomes, which the shooter hopes reverses the casino's edge in the game to the player's favor. Flipping the coin for a moment, there will no doubt be some readers who play advantage craps already whose response would be, "Duh… I've known that! Good for you!